On Monday night — after Elections Canada announces the results of four federal byelections — we'll hear two very different answers to the question: Do byelections matter?
The winners will tell us that they do. They'll say that they're a harbinger for a general election — a referendum on the government, if you will.
The losers will invariably have a different spin: They'll say we should pay little attention to the results — that byelections are unique in that they give voters the opportunity to cast a protest vote and are sometimes dependent on local issues and star candidates.
So, which narrative should we believe?
As with most things, the answer probably lies somewhere in the middle.
According to the latest Forum Research byelection poll, the Tories are poised to retain their seat in Provencher (Manitoba), while the Liberals will keep their seats in Bourassa (Quebec) and Toronto Centre (Ontario). The NDP isRead More »from Do byelections matter?