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Can Justin Trudeau win the 2015 election?

Liberals across the country are probably feeling good about themselves today.

Last night, in convincing fashion, the party elected Justin Trudeau as their new leader.

Moreover, they had more votes cast in their leadership race than the Conservatives and the NDP and they're riding high in the polls.

[ Related: Now it begins: Justin Trudeau elected new leader of Liberal Party of Canada ]

But can they sustain this momentum for the next two years? Will Justin Trudeau be Canada's next prime minister in 2015?

We asked our political panel that very question. Here are their responses:

Gerry Nicholls, political analyst, former Vice President of the National Citizens Coalition:

It’s highly unlikely he’ll be Prime Minister in 2015. More likely, he will draw support away from the NDP and help Harper remain Prime Minister. But in 2020, he could be in a position to take it all.

Alex Tsakumis, political analyst, radio host:

No. He will exchange ridings with Mr. Mulcair, in Quebec and bleed off soft-Tory support in small parts of Ontario. Barring any major political Conservative scandal, it'll be a reelected Prime Minster Harper with a solid enough majority, albeit with a few seats less.

[ Related: Did the Liberals make the right choice in electing Justin Trudeau as their new leader? ]

David Kilgour, former MP, Yahoo! Canada News contributor

Don't know. It depends on a number of factors, one being how well the Canadian economy is doing in 2015, another how Canadians view the four (including Elizabeth May) party leaders when the election is held, and a third how the Grits are then seen in Quebec. Being from the more populist West, I'm uncomfortable when any political party is seen to belong to a family the way the Congress I party in India belongs to the Gandhi family.

David Coletto, Abacus Data pollster:

It is way too early to make any predictions for 2015. Will Trudeau give the Liberals a bump in the polls? Yes, he already has.

But more importantly, he needs to give those millions of Canadians who want him to succeed clear evidence that he's ready for the job.

To win, he has to build confidence in his ability to lead the country, offer key voter segments something that satisfies their needs and wants, and rebuild the Liberal Party's organization and fundraising. If he accomplishes those three things in the next two years, watch out.

(Photo courtesy of Reuters)

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