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    Oil crosses $109 US on rising concerns about Iran

    Oil prices closed above $109 US a barrel Friday on fresh concerns about Iran's nuclear program and despite evidence that demand remains weak.

    Retail gasoline prices in Canada and the U.S. also rose.

    Crude for April delivery closed at $109.77 a barrel in New York, up $1.94.

    Iran has rapidly ramped up production of higher-grade enriched uranium over the last few months, the UN nuclear agency said Friday in a confidential report that feeds concerns about how quickly the Islamic republic could produce an atomic bomb.

    The International Atomic Energy Agency report also said Iran failed to give a convincing explanation about a quantity of missing uranium metal. Diplomats say the amount unaccounted for is large enough to be used for experiments in arming a nuclear missile.

    Iran insists it is not interested in nuclear weapons and says its activities are meant either to generate energy or to be used for research.

    "Everyone's pricing in the potential for war now," independent analyst Stephen Schork said. "Without a concrete resolution, nobody knows how high this can go."

    Israel hasn't ruled out an attack on Iran, and Iran has said it is ready to strike pre-emptively, possibly targeting the Strait of Hormuz, if it is threatened. The Persian Gulf passageway is a potential choke point for oil supplies. One-fifth of the world's oil tankers pass through it every day.

    The average price for regular gasoline in Canada reached $1.26 a litre Friday, according to price-tracking website GasBuddy.com, up almost 10 per cent from a year ago. The site reported average prices that ranged from $1.10 in Edmonton to $1.40 in Vancouver.

    In the U.S., the national average jumped by nearly 12 cents per gallon in a week, with state averages above $4 per gallon in California, Alaska and Hawaii.

    It looks as if prices will keep climbing.

    Tom Kloza, publisher and chief oil analyst at Oil Price Information Service, said U.S. pump prices will add at least 10 to 15 cents per gallon in coming days to reflect a recent jump in wholesale markets. The national average will likely peak in late April, Kloza said, rising as high as $4.25 per gallon.

    Economists are voicing concern that a continuing run-up in oil prices could threaten the fragile economic recovery in the U.S. and deepen a recession in Europe.

    The rise will weigh on the economy, pushing leisure and business travel costs higher. Every a one-cent increase in the price of gasoline costs the U.S. economy $1.4 billon, analysts say.

    Prices have been surging particularly on the West Coast where a BP refinery was shut down after a fire. That refinery in Blaine, Wash., is the third-largest on the West Coast with a production capacity of 230,000 barrels per day.

    The fire comes at a tough time for the refining industry. Most refiners are already slowing production to get ready for a switch over from winter to more expensive summer fuel blends. The seasonal switch usually creates a temporary dip in supplies that pushes prices higher at this time of year. The loss of the BP refinery could make that dip even deeper.

    Earlier, U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said in a television interview on CNBC that the administration is considering what circumstances would justify tapping into the country’s strategic oil reserve.

    "There is a case for the use of the reserve in some circumstances, and we will continue to look at those and evaluate that carefully," Geithner said.

    Some Democrat congressmen have urged the release of some of the country’s oil stockpiles to combat high gasoline prices.

    Independent oil analyst Andrew Lipow pointed out that the United States has adequate oil supplies right now and a release of reserves wouldn't make much sense.

    Traders are mostly concerned with how the Iran situation will affect supplies this summer. Nobody's sure what will happen, Lipow said, and that is pushing investors to buy more oil as an insurance policy against a major conflict.

    "It's just unclear how this plays out," Lipow said. "The worry is that Iran will be forced into a position that they try to impact their neighbours in some way" and curtail oil production in the entire region.

    The North American benchmark, Light Sweet Crude, peaked near $114 a barrel last May. It was $75 in October

    Some analysts expect economic sanctions by the U.S. and Europe and countermeasures by Iran will help keep crude prices elevated this year.

    The gain came despite the U.S. Energy Information Administration report Thursday that crude inventories rose by 1.6 million barrels last week and that oil demand has dropped 6.7 per cent from a year ago.

    "The ability of crude to post new highs in the face of what appeared to be a bearish EIA report attests to the underlying strength of this price advance," energy trader and consultant Ritterbusch and Associates said in a report.

    "The oil market has evolved into somewhat of a self perpetuating cycle in which new highs beget new buying that forces new highs."

    Analysts say any lack of a resolution to the tensions over Iran could push prices still higher.

    "There is a relatively high and growing probability to a scenario in which there is no resolution in 2012, in which oil prices grind higher along with a gradual escalation of tension," Barclays Capital said in a report.

    Analysts also noted that escalating prices seemed linked more to speculation about possible future supply deficits than any actual shortages. Suspicions about rising stockpiles of oil stored on ships at sea were also clouding the true level of available supplies.

    "In our view, the recent price increase was predominantly based on expectations and concerns, amplified by renewed inflows of money into the exchanges," said a report from JBC Energy in Vienna.

    "Only a minor share appears to be due to physical activity, which at the margin — and this is crucial — is taking barrels out of the market and not consuming them."

    What do you feel about this article?

     

    22 comments

    • Temper  •  2 months ago
      it's time ..... we all need to stick together and do what ever it takes to stop this gas rip off !!!!
      • kevin 2 months ago
        I agree. Demand remains low yet the price continues to rise. Manipulation at its worst!!!
    • Mike D  •  Katy, United States  •  2 months ago
      We just need to find someway to stop doing business with the middle east.
      • Belushi 2 months ago
        We have plenty of oil and have plenty of land for refineries that would easily get us off Middle East oil but Democrats won't allow more drilling or new refineries.
    • dude  •  2 months ago
      Tell Obama we need the Keystone pipe line
      • johnny garcia 2 months ago
        The Keystone pipeline would raise gas price even more, not only that many backyards would have a huge pipeline, not only that many chemicals could leak out and destroy our ecosystem. It well only create temporary jobs, don't listen to the Republicans their going to say whatever it takes to win. They don't care about you or me they just care about profit. Read more about the Keystone pipe line and how things could get even worse.
      • Belushi 2 months ago
        Johnny that is completely untrue and just made up. Stop being a sheep drinking the liberal Obama koolaid. Did you attend his lame speech about gas prices with the basic message of nothing can be done, just deal with it, and hopefully non existent "green" energy will make everything better. Obama said during his campaign that high demand led to high gas prices, now the demand is much lower and they are even higher. High gas prices is exactly what Obama has always wanted so we are getting what he wants, he will do nothing stop gas prices unless of course right before the election so he can try to get re elected.
      • Hoschy 2 months ago
        pipeline?? how stupid pum the oil all the way down and than the gas all the way up pretty stupid duh built a refinery or two and supply the country from the north and the south duh make sense or not
    • no  •  2 months ago
      This would make sense if there was a GAS SHORTAGE but this is MORE WALL STREET SPECULATION about WHAT IRAN MIGHT DO being USED TO DRIVE UP GAS PRICES!
      These are more good explanations aka WORDS being used to RIP OFF THE PEOPLE AGAIN!
    • no  •  2 months ago
      Look the bottom line is We The People are tired of being RIPPED OFF at the GAS PUMPS
      BECAUSE WALL STREET SPECULATION SAYS SOMETHING MIGHT HAPPEN!
    • no  •  2 months ago
      We The People are not STUPID! We know WALL STREET SPECULATION ABOUT WHAT IRAN MIGHT DO is BEING USED TO DRIVE UP THE GAS PRICES AND RIP US OFF AGAIN but THE BOTTOM LINE IS THAT WE THE PEOPLE WILL HOLD POLITICIANS RESPONSIBLE by VOTING THEM OUT OF OFFICE if they continue to ALLOW this SCAM!
    • Ronald  •  Laurel Hill, United States  •  2 months ago
      Mike D your right any time they feel the need they do something STUPID to cause oil prices to jump, we need to drill for our own oil and stop doing business with these nut jobs.then we would have the upper hand but right now the have us buy the b@!!$.
    • Matt Piazza  •  2 months ago
      keystone pipeline looking better ALL the time, stop relying the middle east....
    • Hoschy  •  2 months ago
      just blow up all the oil companys, goverments and speculators on a large scale problem solved
    • tstern  •  2 months ago
      We should figure out how to run our cars on bullsh!t. there is certainly enough spewing from the oil companies and the government do last forever
    • ROBERT  •  Fort Walton Beach, United States  •  2 months ago
      Free country my #$%$ Let's call a spade a spade. Rip off is absolutely right. It's more political bull$hi%. I don't mind paying fair market prices on anything, but this fuel price manipulating is far from fair. I'll bet our for Fathers are turning over in their grave.
    • no  •  2 months ago
      We The People are already being ripped off for gas and electric in our homes and now all street speculation wants to rip us off again with gas we need to use our cars.

      We The People will VOTE a lot of Politicians out of office for allowing this to happen!
    • Belushi  •  2 months ago
      We are getting ripped off and gouged from CONCERNS!!!!. There should be a law against this. How about consumers just not pay the full price at the pump because we are "concerned" that prices are being inflated for lame excuses like "concerns" "bad feelings" or being "nervous" and we are concerned about our own welfare and how much we will have left paying bills. So it cost $70 to fill up today, I will give you $45 because I am "concerned" about being ripped off for no reason and how much money I have left for other things, lets see how that works.
    • no  •  2 months ago
      I guess it is hard for those with money to relate to people ..who do not have money to absorb wall street speculation antics ..that drives up the price of GAS and everything else but JOBS!

      There is no freaking way We The People are all of sudden using up so much gas that we are driving the price of gas up 10 and 20 cents damn near every day. That is ridiculous!

      Also most of those hit harder have PICKUP TRUCKS AND SUVS! That is no accident either!
    • no  •  2 months ago
      Let me put it in words most people relate to very well. There is no gas shortgage and we know this is a Political posturing scam against We The People for the Rich to get Richer!

      Here is the dilemma

      President Obama cares about We The People but even if he did not .. his Political adversaries have a lot worse in store for US than High Gas Prices!

      The question still comes to bare...Should consumers accept being ripped off at the Gas Pumps due to Wall Street Speculation predicitions that something might happen be fore it does... HELLL NO!
    • Richard  •  Circleville, United States  •  2 months ago
      Facts about oil from 1970-2000. see Petroleum Chronology of Events 1970-2000. At US Energy information Agency. These are the events that had happened to OIL that have impacted us all.
    • Bebo  •  2 months ago
      Iran vs US and Israel, but then Russia, Venezuela and Cuba will join the war supporting Iran, then is all over for Planet Earth.
      • Belushi 2 months ago
        Not really, the US and Israel just want to take out Iran's nuclear plants. That does not take a invasion or major military conflict, just selective strikes to take out the plants and Irans long range missiles that could be used against Israel or allies. Once those plants are taken out Iran will be left alone at least until they try to build more nuclear weapons.
    • Keeneyes  •  Rochester, United States  •  2 months ago
      The Keystone pipe line will not help. The article stated that we (the United States) has ample oil and demand is low. The problem is speculators! Americans have so much gas that they are selling it to other countries.
      • Ronald 2 months ago
        I'm glad someone else see's this.I've always said I don't see how they can speculate the price of oil on something they THINK is going to happen.The speculators must get their info from the psycic freinds network.I have never seen one of their predictions come true.It's all about greed.Stop selling our gas and oil to other countries that only creates a false shortage here while the oil companies are making RECORD PROFITS and we suffer for it
      • Belushi 2 months ago
        America does not have ample oil because most of the oil is blocked from being drilled. American oil companies are just selling the extra oil from low demand to China because China pays more and does not have as many regulations, taxes, they basically pay for the oil to be shipped to their country. The President/Congress should allow more drilling/keystone/refineries so more can be sold directly to the US and less needing importing from the Middle East.
    • Richard  •  2 months ago
      Little known fact. OIL PRICES DROPPED TO 1/2 IN PRICE IN APRIL 2006.
      See Time Magazine Aprili 14, 1986. This was 6 plus years after Reagan took office. This worked out very well for him and made a major plus during the recovery of the 1980's recession. Any President with that kind of luck would look good. What caused that drop was OPEC failed. The facts are we are producing more oil in the USA, than we have in the last 8 years, and even exporting it. So how does the President controll a free market, that the consertives always say fix everything??
    • A.D.M  •  Lumberton, United States  •  2 months ago
      Stop pointing fingers at each others and do something !!!!!
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