Above-average Atlantic hurricane season predicted for seventh year in a row

Rachel Modestino
·1 min read
Above-average Atlantic hurricane season predicted for seventh year in a row
Above-average Atlantic hurricane season predicted for seventh year in a row

Forecasters are once again predicting an above-average hurricane season for the Atlantic Basin in 2022.

Both the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and Colorado State University have released their forecasts, which indicate a heightened number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes.

NOAA’s outlook predicts a 65 percent chance of an above-normal season, a 25 percent chance of a near-normal season, and a 10 percent chance of a below-normal season.

nhc hurricane season forecast
nhc hurricane season forecast

The main factor driving hurricane activity this year will be the resurgence of La Niña.

La Niña favors warmer than normal Atlantic Ocean waters and weaker trade winds, both of which enhance hurricane development, strength, and potential to overachieve rainfall amounts.

Despite previous signs of weakening, La Niña is now likely to continue this summer and possibly the fall — a period of time when Atlantic hurricane activity could be enhanced.

typical la nina impacts in the atlantic
typical la nina impacts in the atlantic

Analysis of the global pattern also indicates the potential for an early start to tropical storm activity.

June in particular shows signals of heavier rainfall in the eastern half of North America and an increasingly favoured track over the East Coast. This is particularly important for those in Atlantic Canada to make note of, as this type of pattern increases the potential for tropical storm impacts in this region.

An active season does not guarantee impacts to Canada, as impacts are dependent on the track a storm takes. However, it does mean the potential for impacts this year increases.

Ontario, Quebec and Atlantic Canada should begin tropical storm planning in advance and stay updated with tropical storm projections this season.

"Early preparation and understanding your risk is key to being hurricane resilient and climate-ready," Gina M. Raimondo, U.S. Secretary of Commerce, stated in NOAA’s outlook.

Our goal is to create a safe and engaging place for users to connect over interests and passions. In order to improve our community experience, we are temporarily suspending article commenting

Latest Stories

  • Trudeau says Canada will attend G20 summit, even if Putin goes

    Prime Minister Justin Trudeau says Canada will take part in the G20 summit expected to take place in Bali in November, even if Russian President Vladimir Putin goes too. Trudeau says he expects all G7 countries to take part even if Russia remains a full-fledged member of the G20.

  • Three officers remain in hospital, explosive devices removed from scene

    Three of six police officers wounded in a shootout with armed robbery suspects remain in hospital, with one listed in intensive care. Saanich Police Department Chief Const. Dean Duthie says he visited the wounded officers and their families at hospital. He also says explosive devices found at the bank robbery scene were safely removed by the bomb squad and disposed of at a Victoria area landfill site.

  • COVID-19 boosters recommended for the fall, Canada's vaccine advisory body says

    People at high risk of severe disease from COVID-19 infection should be offered a booster shot this fall, regardless of how many boosters they've previously received, the National Advisory Committee on Immunization (NACI) said on Wednesday. That group includes everyone age 65 and older, NACI's updated guidance said. Everyone else — age 12 to 64 — "may be offered" the additional doses in the fall, NACI said. NACI said it will provide recommendations on the type of booster to be given when evidenc

  • China's Xi visits changed Hong Kong for handover anniversary

    HONG KONG (AP) — Chinese leader Xi Jinping arrived Thursday in Hong Kong to celebrate the 25th anniversary of the British handover of a city that his rule has transformed from a global hub known for its political freedoms to one that is much more tightly controlled by the Communist Party. In a staged event carried live on Chinese TV, students and others lined the platform of a high-speed rail station and packed a red carpet to greet the leader making his first trip outside of mainland China in n

  • E-COMM dispatchers facing critical staff shortages over long weekend

    9-1-1 dispatchers say they're facing forced overtime to meet minimum staffing levels this long weekend. Emergency Communications Professionals of BC President Donald Grant discusses the impact with Jennifer Palma.

  • Knives Out sequel, Glass Onion, to premiere at TIFF 2022

    Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery, writer-director Rian Johnson's follow-up to his whodunit hit Knives Out, will premiere at this year's Toronto International Film Festival. The Canadian festival announced Wednesday that Glass Onion will make its world premiere at the 47th edition of TIFF, running Sept. 8-18. Knives Out also launched in Toronto, in 2019. While Knives Out was released by Lionsgate, Netflix last year bought two sequels for $450 million US. The streamer will release the film in lat

  • 2 COVID-19 deaths, hospitalizations up in weekly N.L. update

    Newfoundland and Labrador is reporting two more COVID-19 deaths and an increase in hospitalizations in the Health Department's weekly update. Thirteen people, two more than in last week's update, are in hospital, two of them in critical care. The two deaths in the past week happened in the province's Eastern Health region. One person was 80 years old or over, the other person was in their 70s. The deaths raise the province's total to 194 since March 2020, with 12 reported in June, the fewest rep

  • How weather likely impacted the Battle of Gettysburg's extensive death toll

    On this day in weather history, the Battle of Gettysburg began on a sunny and warm day.

  • Days of waiting, lost luggage, repeated cancellations: passengers describe trying to fly with Air Canada

    Delays at the Trudeau Airport propelled by labour shortages in the aviation industry have made travel for those relying on Quebec's regional airlines nearly impossible. Vanessa Schneider had planned to fly with her children to visit family in her hometown of Sept-Îles, Que., last Thursday, but gave up after her Air Canada flight was cancelled four nights in a row. She's just one of thousands of travellers over recent weeks at the airport who've encountered repeated cancellations and lost luggage

  • Former Global BC anchor named on Order of Canada appointees list

    Actress Sandra Oh and track and field icon Donovan Bailey are among the dozens named to Canada’s highest civilian honour. Governor General Mary Simon named 85 appointees to the Order of Canada -- including former Global BC anchor and reporter Deb Hope.

  • Ukraine war: Germany slams 'inhumane and cynical' Russia over Odesa region missile strike

    Ukraine says overnight strikes hit residential areas in Odesa region, killing 19, a day after Russian forces left Snake Island in what Moscow called a "goodwill gesture".View on euronews

  • Trudeau pledges more military aid for Ukraine

    Prime Minister Justin Trudeau ended his meeting with NATO military alliance leaders in Madrid by announcing more military aid for Ukraine. Trudeau says Canada is in the final stages of talks to supply Ukraine with up to 39 armoured combat support vehicles to help it fight off Russia.

  • Canadians urged to get COVID-19 booster doses

    Canadian health officials are urging people to be sure to get their third or fourth COVID-19 vaccine dose, especially with an expected case surge in the summer or fall.

  • Tuesday’s $70 million Lotto Max jackpot claimed by single ticket sold in Ontario

    A single winning ticket was drawn for Tuesday’s Lotto Max jackpot. The Ontario Lottery and Gaming Corporation (OLG) said the ticket was sold somewhere in Toronto. There were also five Maxmillion winners from Quebec, Ontario and the Prairies, with two tickets sharing one of the $1 million prizes.

  • Canada Day: What's open and closed in Toronto

    There's outdoor fun, live music and fireworks on deck this Canada Day, according to the City of Toronto. With summer in full swing, the city says it's pleased to offer a wide variety of city-organized and community based public events to help Torontonians celebrate Canada's 155th birthday on Friday. Here's a list of some of those attractions and what's open and closed: Fireworks: You can also catch fireworks displays beginning at 10 p.m. at Stan Wadlow Park and Milliken Park. Attractions: CN Tow

  • Denver celebrates Stanley Cup winners with parade

    Denver celebrated the Colorado Avalanche’s Stanley Cup title with a parade through the streets of downtown Thursday. The Avs defeated the reigning champion Tampa Bay Lightning in Game 6 of the Stanley Cup finals Sunday night. (June 30)

  • Travel shows signs of recovery, with some setbacks

    Summer travel is underway across the globe, but a full recovery from two years of coronavirus could last as long as the pandemic itself. (July 1)

  • Two dead, six police wounded in B.C. bank robbery shootout

    A bank robbery in Saanich, B.C. turned into a wild daylight shootout where two suspects died and six police officers were wounded. Saanich Police Chief Const. Dean Duthie says officers engaged in gunfire with the robbery suspects outside of a bank in the suburban Victoria city.

  • AP Top Stories June 29 P

    Here are the top stories for Wednesday, June 29th: U.S. boosting long term troop levels in Europe; Death toll grows in migrant smuggling case in Texas; Breyer to retire on Thursday; R. Kelly sentenced to 30 years in sex trafficking case.

  • Biden: US to stick with Ukraine, sending $800M aid

    U.S. President Joe Biden says his administration will soon provide another $800 million in security assistance for Ukraine to fight Russia’s invasion. (June 30)