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Indianapolis Colts (1-3) at Baltimore Ravens (3-1)
This seems to be a flawed Baltimore Ravens team. But they usually figure it out.
John Harbaugh's consistency is remarkable. The Ravens have a Patriots-lite level of success over the past decade-plus. That consistent excellence hasn't always been on display this season.
The Ravens lost the opener at the Raiders, collapsing at the end. They did get a great win over the Chiefs, but needed a Kansas City fumble in the final minutes. Then they had a miracle win at the Lions, of all teams, on Justin Tucker's record-breaking 66-yard field goal.
Is this a great Ravens team? A good one? We should find out more on Monday night when they face the Indianapolis Colts. The Ravens are 7-point favorites at BetMGM, which indicates a level of respect for them. It's not like they've played well enough to be a near-touchdown favorite against most teams.
Baltimore has dealt with injuries, particularly at running back. They're still figuring out where the pass rush will come from. They're 3-1 despite it all, coming off an impressive and complete win at Denver, while adjusting to the new season.
The Colts are figuring things out through injuries too, and they did look better last week at Miami. I like the Colts getting all those points. The Ravens are playing close games, and I think this will be another tight one. But perhaps we'll see after Monday night that the Ravens are back on track to be championship contenders yet again.
Other than the spread, I do think the under of 46.5 is the way to go. Both teams can run the ball and play defense. But I also like a couple of over receiver props. Baltimore's Marquise Brown has been hot to start the season, and I think he can pass his receiving total of 55.5 yards at BetMGM. He's always a threat to hit that over, or a big chunk of it, on one play. I also like over 52.5 yards for Indianapolis' Michael Pittman Jr., who is playing well this season and has emerged as Carson Wentz's No. 1 target.
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