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Is there a federal cabinet shuffle in the offing?

Recent scandals, missteps, and a general policy malaise have prompted rumours of a federal cabinet shuffle.

As a result, Ottawa insiders and political pundits have begun their analysis of what a new Harper cabinet might look like.

Here are our predictions:

Who might get demoted?

Peter MacKay:

His questionable use of government helicopters didn't cost him his job in 2011 but the F-35 debacle could relegate Peter MacKay to a smaller portfolio or even to the backbenches.

Christian Paradis:

Last month Industry Minister Christian Paradis was found guilty of conflict of interest for helping former caucus colleague Rahim Jaffer meet with senior bureaucrats on a controversial green-energy project.

According to the Globe and Mail, he is now being investigated for taking a 2009 trip to a hunting lodge owned by former Quebec Nordiques President Marcel Aubut, where the two allegedly had some discussion about federal funding for a new Colisée hockey arena.

Vic Toews:

Public safety minister Vic Toews performed poorly in the aftermath of the internet surveillance legislation, making him a lightning rod for criticism against the party.

His recent hospitalization for an irregular heartbeat might give Stephen Harper the perfect excuse to demote him.

John Duncan:

Indian Affairs Minister John Duncan was inept in his handling of the Attawapiskat housing crisis.

There are also rumours that he, as well, is suffering from health issues.

Who might get promoted?

James Moore:

Heritage and Culture minister James Moore has been a loyal supporter of Stephen Harper, is articulate, and well-spoken.

He's performed well in his current role and is due for a promotion to a major portfolio.

Maxime Bernier:

Bernier was forced to resign from cabinet in 2008, after leaving sensitive NATO briefing notes at the home of his girlfriend - who once had romantic interests with members from the Hell's Angels.

Bernier, came back to cabinet, in a junior role, in 2011 as Minister of State for Small Business and Tourism.

His chances for a more prominent cabinet post are buoyed by the fact he's avoided scandal since 2008 and that he's one of the only high profile Conservative members from Quebec.

Chris Alexander:

Chris Alexander, who is currently parliamentary secretary to defence minister Peter Mackay, is considered an up-and-comer in the Harper government.

This former Ambassador to Afghanistan may be ready to lead a portfolio.

Who is not going anywhere?

Stephen Harper's top performers will continue to hold the top jobs in cabinet.

Don't expect these three senior ministers to change offices:

- Foreign affairs minister John Baird

- Finance minister Jim Flaherty

- Immigration minister Jason Kenney