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Disney is facing a 'perfect storm': analyst

LOS ANGELES (Reuters) - Walt Disney Co <DIS.N> on Tuesday avoided the unmitigated disaster some investors feared as it eked out an adjusted profit amid the coronavirus pandemic that shut down parks, movie theaters and sporting events across the globe.

Disney's quarterly profit of 8 cents per share on an adjusted basis beat expectations for a loss of 64 cents, sending the stock up 10% on Wednesday.

The company took a nearly $5 billion charge due to the pandemic and shifting media habits. COVID-19 wiped out $3.5 billion in operating profit in the parks division.

"The majority of businesses worldwide have experienced unprecedented disruption as a result of the pandemic," Disney Chief Executive Bob Chapek told analysts. "Most of our businesses were shut down, and this had a huge impact."

Investors overlooked total revenue that fell short of expectations by nearly $600 million and focused on divisions including parks and its media networks with revenue declines that were not as bad as expected.

The Disney+ streaming service, which had 60.5 million paying customers as of Monday, was a bright spot in the quarter, Chapek said. Disney had reported 54.5 million subscribers as of May 4.

"What we plan to do is invest even more in our content in order to keep that machine cranked and going," he said.

Combined with Hulu and ESPN+, Disney has attracted more than 100 million streaming customers worldwide since launching its big streaming effort nine months ago. Netflix Inc <NFLX.O>, which got a head start in the market when it began streaming 13 years ago, boasts 193 million.

Disney faces a ‘perfect storm’

Nick Giacoumakis, President of New England Investment and Retirement Group President, was encouraged by the success of Disney+. But he cautioned that it represents a relatively small portion of the company’s business.

“The main two businesses, of course, is theme parks and movies,” Giacoumakis said on Yahoo Finance’s The First Trade. “We don’t believe it’s going to be outweighed by the Disney+ side of the business.“

Giancoumakis believes investors and traders are bidding up the stock on hopes for a COVID-19 vaccine by year end. But he is skeptical.

"We think the headwinds ahead are considerable,” he added. “Disney is in a situation where they're facing the perfect storm of what's coming forward with COVID."

Journalists wearing ponchos stand in the rain during the opening ceremony of Toy Story Land at Hong Kong Disneyland November 17, 2011. The new themed area, inspired by the global blockbuster "Toy Story" trilogy, is the first phase of the resort's expansion project.  REUTERS/Bobby Yip (CHINA - Tags: TRAVEL SOCIETY BUSINESS MEDIA) - GF2E7BH0L7701
Journalists wearing ponchos stand in the rain during the opening ceremony of Toy Story Land at Hong Kong Disneyland November 17, 2011. REUTERS/Bobby Yip

The coronavirus outbreak forced Disney to delay the theatrical debut of movies including the live-action epic "Mulan" about a Chinese warrior.

In a surprise move, Disney said it will release "Mulan" on Disney+ on Sept. 4 for people to watch at home at a cost of $30, and in theaters in markets where Disney+ is not available.

Chapek said the shift was a one-time event and did not represent a shift in strategy.

The decision followed a deal in July between Comcast Corp's <CMCSA.O> Universal Pictures and cinema chain AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc <AMC.N> to allow the studio to release films directly to consumers after just three weeks in theaters, down from the average three months.

Disney also said it would launch a new international streaming service under the Star brand.

"Investors are looking beyond the tough quarter to continued reopening of parks, while Disney+ is expected to see further growth," said Investing.com analyst Haris Anwar.

Theme park closures from April to June led to an operating loss of $1.96 billion in the parks and consumer products business. Even as four of its six theme park resorts around the world have opened, social distancing rules have limited attendance.

Demand at profit center Walt Disney World was lower than expected because of the resurgence of coronavirus infections in Florida, Disney Chief Financial Officer Christine McCarthy said.

The media network segment, which includes ESPN and Disney channels, reported a 48% jump in operating income to $3.15 billion.

The direct-to-consumer and international unit, which houses the Disney+ streaming service, reported an operating loss of $706 million, below the $1.06 billion that analysts expected.

Operating income at the movie studio fell 16% to $668 million as many movie theaters remained closed.

Overall revenue fell 42% to $11.78 billion. Analysts on average had expected revenue of $12.37 billion, according to Refinitiv IBES data.

Net loss from continuing operations was $4.72 billion, or $2.61 per share, in the third quarter ended June 27, compared with a net profit of $1.43 billion, or 79 cents per share, a year earlier.

(Reporting by Munsif Vengattil in Bengaluru and Lisa Richwine in Los Angeles; Editing by Sriraj Kalluvila and Lisa Shumaker)

NOTE: This article was lightly edited by Yahoo Finance to include expert quotes.

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