The board for the Mexico Open is incredibly unique.
Most tournaments have a handful of players you can consider favorites. Not this tournament. Thanks to a weak field and Jon Rahm’s presence, Rahm is far and away the heavy favorite to win this weekend.
The No. 2 player in the world opened at +500 to win the tournament and is currently at +475 at BetMGM. No other player in the field has odds better than +2000.
Sharps love Rahm’s chances too. Rahm is getting the third-most bets (6.1%) and easily the most money. Nearly 18% of the handle is on Rahm to win. Gary Woodland at +2200 is getting the most bets at 8.4% and the second-most money at 10.8%.
Tony Finau is the only other player in the top 25 of the World Golf Rankings in the field this weekend. Finau is also at +2200 and getting 5.4% of bets and 6.6% of the money. Finau and Woodland are tied as the No. 3 favorites on the board behind Rahm and Abraham Ancer at +2000. Ancer is getting 7% of bets and 8.3% of the handle ahead of the tournament in his home country.
The lack of strength at the top of the field may make this weekend a good one to wager on a golfer you typically wouldn’t bet. You don’t have to make that wager for the win, either. A player like Kevin Na is +550 to finish in the top five while Cameron Champ is +1000 and Sahith Theegala is +1100. There’s value to be found with the right players, especially if you make the right wager on the top American.
Finau is the favorite to be the top finisher from the United States at +1400 while Aaron Wise, Na and Woodland are all at +1600. There are 20 golfers at +4000 or better to be the best American.
Mexico Open favorites
Jon Rahm (+475)
Abraham Ancer (+2000)
Gary Woodland (+2200)
Tony Finau (+2200)
Aaron Wise (+2500)
Cameron Tringale (+2800)
Kevin Na (+2800)
Chris Kirk (+3300)
Patrick Reed (+3300)
Sebastian Munoz (+3300)
Cameron Champ (+4000)
Kevin Streelman (+4000)
Brendon Todd (+4000)