An online survey of 500 people in Newfoundland and Labrador shows the Liberals and Progressive Conservatives in a dead heat while the NDP gains ground in third place.
According to Abacus Data, if a provincial election was held right now, the Liberals would get 40 per cent of the vote as compared to 38 per cent for the Progressive Conservatives. Support for the NDP was pegged at 21 per cent.
For the governing Liberals, that would be a loss of eight percentage points as compared to the 2021 provincial election. The PCs would be a single point down, while the NDP would have gained 13 percentage points.
The poll had a 4.5 per cent margin of error 19 out of 20 times.
Public opinion on all three party leaders has gone up since the last Abacus poll, with NDP Leader Jim Dinn gaining the most ground with a 17-point increase.
Nearly half of PC voters unsure on new leader
Among those who said they'd vote PC in the next election, 48 per cent said they were unsure who they would pick for leader.
The party is currently in the midst of a leadership campaign, with Eugene Manning, Tony Wakeham and Lloyd Parrott in contention.
Of those who have made up their minds, 29 per cent would choose Wakeham, 16 per cent would choose Manning and seven per cent would select Parrott.
Among PC supporters, 29 per cent said they were following the leadership campaign. Among the rest of respondents, that number was 21 per cent.
What issues are most important?
Eighty-four per cent of respondents said the cost of living was one of their three biggest concerns. The next biggest issues were health care, at 74 per cent, and housing affordability at 43 per cent.
When asked how the provincial government was reacting to key issues, "poor" outweighed "good" in all six categories.
Seventy-eight per cent of respondents said the government was doing a poor job responding to the rising cost of living. (Ivanoh Demers/CBC)
For example, 78 per cent of respondents said the government was doing a poor job responding to the rising cost of living, and 67 per cent gave the province a poor rating on health care.
The survey also revealed more than three-quarters of Newfoundlanders and Labradorians are living paycheque to paycheque.
Only 23 per cent said they were able to save money each month.