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Messy weather will accompany temperature rebound in Ontario

Messy weather will accompany temperature rebound in Ontario
Messy weather will accompany temperature rebound in Ontario

Ontario’s long-range forecast is a drastic change from the recent extreme cold. This week the primary flow of air will be from the Gulf of Mexico, which will cause temperatures to rise above 0°C.

PATTERN
PATTERN

The first low pressure system will slide across the province on Tuesday and bring primarily rainy conditions to the south and snowfall across the north. Cottage country will see a wintry mix with most of the snow falling across northeastern Ontario.

SNOMG
SNOMG

The forercast becomes more interesting by Thursday as a Texas low draws up a warmer, moist flow from the Deep South. With so much warm air aloft, there's a risk of freezing rain across the higher terrain of southern Ontario and a mess is guaranteed to unfold across regions farther north.


SEE ALSO: Three things that made the Eastern Canada cold snap so bizarre


Huge differences in model scenarios range from very mild temperatures and rain from a system tracking northwest of the region to a wintry system with a track to the south of the region. Temperatures will soar into the mid-teens in Ohio, but it remains to be seen how far north the warm front tracks.

ThursdayTemp
ThursdayTemp

Hamilton and Niagara have the best opportunity to experience warm, double-digit February temperatures, while Toronto could very well be stuck in a chilly flow off the lake.

A couple more days of seasonal weather is possible next weekend, but a mild and active pattern is expected for the following week. Forecasters are watching the potential for winter to make a comeback late in the month.

Check back for updates as more granular details emerge for the tumultuous week ahead.