NBA betting: Tyler Herro and three more long shots who could win NBA Finals MVP

·3 min read

The list of teams who could realistically win the Larry O'Brien trophy this postseason is longer than we've seen in recent years. That makes it tougher to predict the eventual champion, but it also provides us with more value in the NBA Finals MVP market. Here are four Finals MVP long shots from BetMGM whose value is too good to pass up:

Tyler Herro, Miami Heat (40-to-1)

This season's lock for sixth man of the year wouldn't be the first bench player to win Finals MVP. Andre Iguodala came off the pine to win it in 2015 when the Warriors beat the Cavs in six games. Even though he didn't start, Iggy tied with Draymond Green for the third-most minutes played in the series by a Golden State player.

Herro logged the third-most minutes per game for the East's top seed this season. His 20.7 points per game ranked second on the team, behind Jimmy Butler's 21.4 ppg. Herro was the leading scorer in 47.7% of Miami's wins that he played in this year. When he scored less than 15 points, the Heat were 6-7. The sharpshooter is essential to Miami's success, which means there's a solid chance he's the MVP if the Heat win it all.

I also don't mind sprinkling a few bucks on teammate Victor Oladipo at 400-to-1 odds. The two-time All-Star has looked good in his return to the court, posting a line of 40/10/7 in his last outing.

Tyler Herro averaged 20.7 points per game for the Miami Heat this season. (Kevin Jairaj/USA TODAY Sports)
Tyler Herro averaged 20.7 points per game for the Miami Heat this season. (Kevin Jairaj/USA TODAY Sports)

James Harden, Philadelphia 76ers (50-to-1)

The former MVP may no longer be in his prime, but he still has plenty left in the tank. Harden was 2.3 rebounds per game from averaging a triple-double this season. Regardless of who Philly would face in the Finals, the opposition's defensive game plan would have to focus on stopping Joel Embiid. That opens up more opportunities for Harden to impact the series and add a Finals MVP trophy to his shelf.

Donovan Mitchell, Utah Jazz (50-to-1)

Mitchell in the regular season is an assassin. Mitchell in the playoffs is like they reprogrammed RoboCop to get buckets. He's averaging 33.9 points per game over the last two postseasons, scoring at least 30 points in 12 of 17 games and going over the 40 mark four times. Utah has the pieces around Mitchell to get to the Finals — a path which will be much easier if Luka Doncic misses Dallas' opening round matchup against the Jazz.

Rudy Gobert, Utah Jazz (125-to-1)

If the Jazz win the championship (28-to-1), it's because of either Mitchell or Gobert. The Stifle Tower led the NBA in defensive rating and rebounding (14.7 rpg) this year, pulling down 20-plus boards in 13.6% of his games. A couple of 20 and 20 games and some big defensive plays in the Finals could secure an MVP for Gobert.

Stats provided by Basketball Reference, teamrankings.com, StatMuse, and nba.com.

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