Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Midwich Group Plc (LON:MIDW)?

Midwich Group Plc (LON:MIDW), which is in the electronic business, and is based in United Kingdom, saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the AIM. As a small cap stock, which tends to lack high analyst coverage, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Midwich Group’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Midwich Group

What is Midwich Group worth?

Midwich Group is currently overpriced based on my relative valuation model. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 31.93x is currently well-above the industry average of 17.12x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Midwich Group’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from Midwich Group?

AIM:MIDW Past and Future Earnings, February 24th 2020
AIM:MIDW Past and Future Earnings, February 24th 2020

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 60% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Midwich Group. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in MIDW’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe MIDW should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on MIDW for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for MIDW, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Midwich Group. You can find everything you need to know about Midwich Group in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Midwich Group, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

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