A new spot to watch in the Caribbean could develop, move north within the next week

There’s a new system to watch in the Caribbean, and some models suggest it could form and move north into the Gulf of Mexico within a week and potentially impact Florida.

On Wednesday night, the National Hurricane Center raised its chance of strengthening in the next seven days to 30%. It has no chance of forming into a tropical depression or storm in the next two days.

“...Some slow development of this system is possible through the middle of next week while it moves slowly to the north or northwest over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southeastern Gulf of Mexico,” forecasters wrote.

Long-range storm models have suggested the system could be one to watch, with a potential future path anywhere from Mexico to the Bahamas next week. However, those models have been flip-flopping for days, and they’re not that accurate before a system has truly formed.

Experts have warned weather watchers to not pay too much attention to the scary single-run models but to wait for better forecasting and advice from the hurricane center.

“Before you can predict meaningful impacts with a tropical system, it first has to form. Right now in the western Caribbean, we have...NOTHING,” Craig Setzer, chief meteorologist for Royal Caribbean Group, posted on Twitter Wednesday.

Miami Herald reporter Devoun Cetoute contributed to this report.