Heavy rain and strong winds forecast after brief return of settled weather

The Met Office has issued a fresh forecast after large parts of England and Wales were hit with intense downpours at the start of the week.

·Freelance Writer

October 2, 2024 at 6:27 a.m.·5 min read

A resident drives their car out of a flooded cul-de-sac in Brampton, Cambridgeshire, on Wednesday as more rain is predicted. (PA)

After days of heavy rain and flooding, the weather is set to become more settled – for a few days at least.

Large parts of England and Wales were hit with intense downpours at the start of the week and Met Office figures showed 10 English counties experienced their wettest September on record. Areas across England have suffered heavy rain, high winds and flooding in recent weeks, with hundreds of properties and farmland flooded and widespread travel disruption with roads closed and rail services suspended.

Southern England had its wettest September since 1918, and its third wettest in records dating back to 1836, the Met Office said. England saw 95% above-average rainfall and Wales had 37% more for the month, but Scotland was 37% below average and Northern Ireland was 18% down.

However, any initial heavy rainfall and cloud on Wednesday will turn lighter as the day progresses with a new weather front moving recent unsettled conditions south over the English Channel, the Met Office said.

High pressure building from the north through Wednesday, here is our #4cast overview 👇 pic.twitter.com/A5Bw5Fyh6p
— Met Office (@metoffice) October 1, 2024

Met Office deputy chief meteorologist Tony Wisson said: “After a drier interlude, the weather will gradually get wetter and windier through the weekend, as high pressure drifts away to the east and is slowly replaced with low pressure, bringing increasing amounts of wind and rain.

“This transition will initially affect western parts of UK, starting in northwestern areas on Friday but then more widely in western areas later on Saturday. These fronts will shift eastwards through the weekend, resulting in rain reaching most areas of the UK by Sunday. The highest rainfall totals through the weekend are most likely in the west and southwest, and generally lower further east.”

Temperatures are also expected to climb to around the seasonal average, with highs of 17C in south Wales and south-east England.

Floodwater submerges large parts of Brampton Park Golf Club in Brampton, Cambridgeshire. Further showery spells are expected across England, but drier, more settled weather conditions are set to arrive in the coming days. Picture date: Wednesday October 2, 2024. — Floodwater submerges large parts of Brampton Park Golf Club in Brampton, Cambridgeshire, on Wedneday. (PA)

A resident makes their way along a flooded cul-de-sac in Brampton, Cambridgeshire. Further showery spells are expected across England, but drier, more settled weather conditions are set to arrive in the coming days. Picture date: Wednesday October 2, 2024. (Photo by Joe Giddens/PA Images via Getty Images) — A resident makes their way along a flooded cul-de-sac in Brampton, Cambridgeshire, on Wednesday. (PA)

But the settled weather may come to an end on Sunday as the Met Office is predicting thundery showers, heavy and persistent rain and heavy winds. The forecaster said England and Wales will likely see the bulk of the rain, while temperatures are expected to drop across the country.

Looking further ahead, the Met Office says Hurricane Kirk, which is currently in the Atlantic, could lead to more heavy rain and strong winds by the middle of next week. However, the hurricane strength would be lost by the time it reaches the UK.

Wisson added: “One scenario suggests that this low pressure system could come close to, or even cross, the UK by Wednesday or Thursday next week. This would lead to heavy rain and strong winds in places.

“Another scenario is for the low pressure system to stay further west in the mid-Atlantic, keeping much of the associated rain and wind away from the UK.”

Read more: Record-breaking rainfall last month - what is the forecast for October? (Sky News)

Heavy rain is set to make a comeback from Sunday. (Met Office)

Yahoo breaks down what the weather will be like for each region of the UK.

London and the South-East

Wednesday

Rain and cloud gradually easing throughout the day. Some bright or sunny spells in the afternoon. Maximum temperature 17C.

Thursday

Mainly dry and sunny. Some patchy cloud and isolated light showers. Feeling warmer. Maximum temperature 17C.

Friday to Sunday

Dry and bright on Friday and Saturday before turning wet and windy.

South-West

Wednesday

Brighter spells developing after a cloudy start. Warm sunshine with some scattered showers. Breezy. Maximum temperature 17C.

Thursday

A cold start will lead to a fine day with some sunny spells. Maximum temperature 17C.

Friday to Sunday

Settled on Friday but turning wet and windy on Saturday with sunshine and showers on Sunday.

Midlands

Wednesday

Dry and bright after a damp start. Feeling warmer and less windy. Maximum temperature 15C.

Thursday

Another dry and sunny day with light winds. Maximum temperature 16C.

Friday to Sunday

Wriday and Saturday before becoming wet and windy. Temperatures still above average.

North-East

Wednesday

A much brighter day with plenty of sunshine. The odd light shower. Maximum temperature 14C.

Thursday

Early mist and fog clearing to leave a fine day. Plenty of sunshine and light winds. Maximum temperature 15C.

Friday to Sunday

Fine and sunny on Friday before turning wet and windy over the weekend.

A sunny start to Wednesday across parts of Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England ⛅

Cloudier elsewhere, with the risk of some patchy rain 🌧️ pic.twitter.com/MVDTpHAgPE
— Met Office (@metoffice) October 1, 2024

North-West

Wednesday

Cloudy in the morning before turning dry and bright in the afternoon. Plenty of warm, sunny spells. Maximum temperature 16C.

Thursday

Turning bright after a frosty morning. Plenty of warm, sunny spells. Maximum temperature 15C.

Friday to Sunday

Settled but chilly on Friday, turning wet and windy on Saturday and Sunday.

Scotland

Wednesday

Dry and bright with plenty of sunshine. Maximum temperature 14C.

Thursday

Dry and sunny after a foggy start. Light winds. Maximum temperature 14C.

Friday to Sunday

Mainly dry on Friday and Saturday. Scattered showers on Sunday.

Temperatures are set to climb on Thursday and Friday. (Met Office)

Northern Ireland

Wednesday

Dry and bright with good spells of sunshine. Light winds. Maximum temperature 15C.

Thursday

Dry and sunny bit some cloud in the afternoon. Maximum temperature 15C.

Friday to Sunday

A rather cloudy few day with some showery rain, heavier on Saturday with strong winds.

Wales

Wednesday

Cloudy with patchy rain in the morning. Drier with sunny spells in the afternoon. Maximum temperature 16C.

Thursday

Dry and bright after a cold start. Plenty of warm, sunny spells. Maximum temperature 16C.

Friday to Sunday

Remaining settled on Friday but turning wet and windy on Saturday. Sunshine and showers expected on Sunday.

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