Category 2 Hurricane Rafael: Thursday, Nov 7 status report from the NHC

This graphic created by the National Weather Service/NCEP Weather Prediction Center (WPC) shows the projected path. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

Article first published: Thursday, Nov. 7, 2024, 4 a.m. ET

As per the National Hurricane Center's 4 am Thursday update, Category 2 Hurricane Rafael is 155 miles west-northwest of Havana Cuba and 180 miles west of Key West Florida, with maximum sustained wind of 105 mph. It’s moving at 12 mph to the northwest.

"... Rafael is expected to continue to move away from western Cuba over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico this morning." forecasters explained. "Rafael is then forecast to move over the southern Gulf of Mexico for the next few days."

YESTERDAY (Wednesday):

Yesterday, several developments occured. Rafael began as a Category 2 hurricane, a Category 3 hurricane and a hurricane and ultimately became a Category 2 hurricane with sustained winds of 105 mph.

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Cuba has discontinued the Hurricane Warning for Cuba.

The Tropical Storm Warning for the Lower and Middle Florida Keys is discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for:

- Dry Tortugas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND:

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected over the Dry Tortugas through this morning.

RAINFALL: Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are expected today, leading to storm total accumulations of 12 inches across portions of western Cuba. This may lead to areas of flash flooding and mudslides, especially along the higher terrain.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Hurricane Rafael, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.shtml? Rainqpf

STORM SURGE: The combination of a storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Dry Tortugas...1-3 ft Lower Florida Keys...1-2 ft

SURF: Swells generated by Rafael are expected to spread across most of the Gulf of Mexico from east to west during the next several days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

Source: National Hurricane Center

This article was generated by the South Carolina Bot, artificial intelligence software that analyzes information from the National Hurricane Center and applies it to templates created by journalists in the newsroom. We are experimenting with this and other new ways of providing more useful content to our readers and subscribers. You can report errors or bugs to mcclatchybot@mcclatchy.com.