Millions of people will soon take to trains, planes and automobiles to make their annual Thanksgiving pilgrimage.
AAA said Monday that about 55.4 million Americans are expected to travel at least 50 miles between Nov. 22 and Nov. 26 – 2.3% more than last year and the third-highest Thanksgiving travel forecast by the agency since 2000. About 89% will travel by car, while 8.5% will fly to their destination.
Here is a broad look at the forecast leading up to one of the busiest travel periods of the year. Details of the forecast will become clearer as the period approaches.
The FOX Forecast Center is closely monitoring a cold front and coastal storm approaching the Eastern Seaboard.
Computer forecast models show precipitation from the cold front is expected to begin in the Northeast later Friday, with impacts from the coastal storm arriving Saturday along the immediate coastline.
With the latest computer model guidance taking the coastal storm's track farther away from the East Coast, the FOX Forecast Center said the rain from the coastal storm will be limited and confined mostly to the immediate southeastern New England coast and Downeast Maine.
Most of the rain will fall along the cold front, sweeping in from the west. Temperatures will be too warm for significant snow, but the highest mountains of New Hampshire, Vermont and Maine could see a few inches of snow as colder air rolls in behind the front.
The weather forecast remains complex for Thanksgiving week, as the FOX Forecast Center is watching the potential for multiple storms to impact the U.S. next week, bringing a wide range of impacts.
As the Northeast deals with its cold-front-coastal-storm combo this weekend, a pair of storm systems will be moving into California and the Pacific Northwest Saturday and into Sunday with steady rain and mountain snow.
On Monday, the Pacific Northwest system will attempt to dive south over most of the Rockies, leading to impactful snow that could cause issues on roads. It's unclear if that part of the system will fall apart or maintain its strength over the mountains. Either way, travel impacts will be possible.
"The problem is once that energy hops over the Rockies – what brews out of that?" FOX Weather Meteorologist Britta Merwin said.
Meanwhile, the storm system that had been swirling off California for days before pushing inland over the weekend will end up over the Four Corners region by Monday. That system will strengthen over the southern Plains, with the latest trends now showing an increasing threat of severe weather in addition to a threat of heavy rain.
Yet another system will dive south from Canada on Tuesday, bringing a blast of cold air along with it. This could lead to snow for most of the Great Lakes region, with some in the form of lake-effect snow.
This system is then expected to swing into the East later Tuesday and into Wednesday, threatening to bring another round of moderate rain and strong, gusty winds, with some snow possible in the interior Northeast.
Much of the U.S. will likely have dry weather for Thanksgiving, with the exception of a chance for rain and snow on either coast and across the northern tier of the country.
Keep tabs on the forecast for your Thanksgiving destination using the FOX Weather app. Just open the app and tap the Events tab to get started.
Original article source: Where weather could cause problems for Thanksgiving travel this year