General Election 2024 London seats: Who will be my MP in....Hendon?
Millions of voters across London will go to the polls on July 4 to elect the new Government. The Standard is looking at key battleground seats in the capital. Here we turn the spotlight on:
HENDON
Estimated declaration time 5.30am
Candidates for main parties (in alphabetical order):
Gabrielle Bailey - Green Party
Clareine Enderby - Liberal Democrats
Ameet Jogia - Conservative
Joshua Leon Pearl - Reform UK
David Pinto-Duschinsky - Labour
Summary: This marginal seat has always been in the hands of the party in Government since its re-creation in 1997. It was won that year by Andrew Dismore who held it until 2010.
As Gordon Brown was ousted, Matthew Offord won the seat for the Conservatives by just 106 votes.
So, Labour have long had their sights on this constituency.
But Mr Offord increased his majority to 3,724 in 2015, before it fell to just over a thousand in Theresa May’s snap June 2017 election, but then extended it to 4,230 in 2019.
Unusually for a parliamentary constituency, it has an almost equal make-up of Jewish people, just over 15 per cent, and Muslim people slightly more than 16 per cent.
Area: Burnt Oak, Colindale North, Colindale South, Edgware, Hendon,Mill Hill and West Hendon.
I’m not sure if I’m in this constituency: Here’s how you can check
Boundary changes impact (Thrasher and Rallings analysis): Boundary changes have made virtually no change to the political make-up of this constituency.
YouGov MRP poll prediction: Labour gain from Tories
Evening Standard view: Political history suggests this seat will fall to Labour as it has always been held by the party of Government since its re-creation in 1997. It’s hard to disagree with history given the state of the polls.
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