Jack Ma’s downfall is a symptom of Xi Jinping’s communist economy

Jack Ma china economy - Getty Images Contributor
Jack Ma china economy - Getty Images Contributor

As a Chinese success story, Alibaba is unrivalled. As its founder, Jack Ma soared in power and prestige, acquiring a global reputation that spread alongside the company’s growth into a global e-commerce giant.

Yet the entrepreneur, who first used the internet in 1995 on a business trip to the US, made a fatal mistake: in a country dominated by Xi Jinping’s cult of personality, he became a recognisable leadership figure, with what appeared to be his own power base.

In 2020, Ma criticised China’s regulatory system, a move perceived as an assault on the Chinese state – and one that sparked his downfall. 

“Without risk, no innovation can happen in this world,” he told a conference in Shanghai in October 2020. “Good innovation can coexist with regulations, but not regulations of yesterday,” he said, in comments that were interpreted as a direct challenge to the ideologues running China.

A week later, officials summoned him to a closed-door meeting. A day after that, Alibaba financial services affiliate Ant Group’s £30bn initial public offering was abruptly cancelled.

Now, his effectively forced departure from Ant Group, announced last week, highlights China’s growing shift towards a communist-style command economy where all activity must visibly support the ideological underpinnings of Xi.

Last week a regulatory filing revealed Ma, who stepped down as chief executive of Alibaba in 2013 and retired as chairman in 2019, “intends to reduce and thereafter limit his direct and indirect economic interest in Ant Group over time”, running down his 50pc stake to less than a tenth.

“With Jack stepping down, a significant key man risk will be removed from the neck of Ant,” Justin Tang, head of Asian research at United First Partners, told Bloomberg.

The billionaire’s retreat follows him pulling back from public view almost two years ago as Beijing derailed Ant’s listing, which would have been the world’s largest, and financial regulators ordered it to restructure operations into a financial holding company. The filing said regulators didn't demand the change but have given their blessing.

Jack Ma China - Blondet Eliot/ABACA
Jack Ma China - Blondet Eliot/ABACA

It is part of a wider reining in of corporate titans and the booming tech sector by the Chinese government, set in motion by Ma’s criticisms, which has not only hit Alibaba but also its rivals. An estimated $1 trillion (£822bn) has been erased from their collective value.

Last week, Hangzhou-based Alibaba – which was founded in 1999 and brings in £110bn in annual revenue, serving 1.3 billion users globally – posted its first quarterly decline in growth since listing in New York in 2014. It reported revenue of 205bn yuan (£25.2bn), narrowly beating analysts’ predictions, and halved profits.

The host of challenges facing Alibaba, including Covid and Beijing’s policies, has sent its share price to just 5pc above its listing price, from a peak of 249pc higher in late 2020.

“It has been a choppy few months for Alibaba, like two steps forward, one step back,” said David Waddell of Waddell & Associates in a note.

Meanwhile, Ma’s decision to step down will only further delay Ant Group’s plans to launch an initial public offering (IPO). Companies need to wait up to three years to list in mainland China after changes to their controlling shareholder, while Hong Kong requires a year-long hiatus.

Floating the tech company on the Hong Kong and Shanghai stock markets was supposed to have signified Chinese pragmatism meeting the western way of doing business, even as the US threatened to delist Chinese companies from its markets.

Angela Huyue Zhang, an associate law professor at the University of Hong Kong, told Channel News Asia when the listing was cancelled that Ma’s “scathing criticisms of Chinese financial regulation directly irked many senior officials who previously had voiced contrasting opinions on the same regulatory issues”. It was rumoured his remarks made it as far as president Xi.

Perhaps the ideological divergence was no real surprise. The former English teacher has all the trappings of the capitalist executive’s lifestyle. He owns a superyacht, the Zen, and is reportedly worth in excess of $35bn (£28bn). Ma has even perfected the rags-to-riches story.

Yet however smart he may be, Ma’s public criticism of Beijing's regulatory system was a step too far. Once outspoken, he has since kept a low profile – since vanishing and reappearing – as his business empire leaves his grasp.

Had China’s rulers kept themselves in check, perhaps China’s economy – which is suffering in the wake of Xi’s zero-Covid policy – would be enjoying a measure of greater prosperity.