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The Milwaukee Bucks have the chance to take a commanding 3-1 series lead in the Eastern Conference finals against the Atlanta Hawks, and a large majority of bettors believe it will happen.
Despite being on the road for Game 4, the Bucks are currently 6.5-point favorites with the total set at 219.5. According to BetMGM, 74% of the bets it has received on the game have come on the Bucks. On top of that, 83% of the money is on the Milwaukee side.
The spread opened at Bucks -5.5, but has since moved a point in Milwaukee’s direction to -6.5 presumably because of the uncertain status of Hawks star Trae Young. Young rolled his ankle late in Game 3 of the series on Sunday night. Following an MRI, Young’s official diagnosis is a bone bruise. He was listed as questionable on the team’s injury report on Monday.
Young scored 35 points on Sunday but was overshadowed by a late-game scoring barrage from Milwaukee’s Khris Middleton. Middleton scored 38 points, 20 of which came in the fourth quarter, in a 113-102 victory for the Bucks. Middleton also added 11 rebounds and seven assists in the win while Giannis Antetokounmpo posted a double-double with 33 points and 11 boards.
The Hawks opened the series with a Game 1 upset in Milwaukee. But it’s been all Bucks since then. The Bucks won Game 2 in blowout fashion, 125-91, before pulling away in the fourth quarter to win Game 3 and take a 2-1 series edge.
The Bucks are 4-3 against the spread on the road during the postseason, including a 3-2 mark as a road favorite. The Hawks, meanwhile, are 3-3 against the spread at home in the playoffs. As an underdog this postseason, the Hawks are 7-6 ATS with seven outright victories.
In the semifinals, the Hawks trailed the Philadelphia 76ers 2-1 but ended up winning the series in seven games. Do they have another comeback in them?
What about the over-under?
The total for Tuesday night’s game opened at 223.5 at BetMGM, but it has since dropped down to 219.5. Despite the total dropping four points, 72% of the bets and 76% of the money have been bet on the over.
The under is 9-4-1 in Milwaukee’s 14 postseason games. On the Atlanta side, the under is 11-4.
Game 1 of this series went over the total of 225, while Games 2 and 3 were both unders — 226 and 224, respectively.
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