General Election 2024 London seats: Who will be my MP in....Kingston and Surbiton where Ed Davey is standing?

Millions of voters across London will go to the polls on July 4 to elect the new Government. The Standard is looking at key battleground seats in the capital. Here we turn the spotlight on:

KINGSTON AND SURBITON

Candidates for main parties (in alphabetical order):

Debojyoti Das - Green Party

Sir Ed Davey - Liberal Democrats

Helen Edward - Conservative

Mark Fox - Reform UK

Eunice O’Dame - Labour Party

Summary: Sir Ed has held Kingston and Surbiton since 1997 apart from in 2015 when he lost to Conservative James Berry in a backlash against the Lib Dems’ coalition with the Tories.

He won in 2019 with a majority of 10,489, before becoming leader of his party, so is now more high profile including with a series of stunts during this election campaign, and may be seeking to increase his lead over the Tories in this constituency.

Boundary changes also benefit the Lib Dems.

He will be hoping that his party can rebuild its stronghold in south west London by winning Wimbledon, Carshalton and Wallington, and Sutton and Cheam.

Area: The wards in the constituency are Alexandra, Berrylands, Beverley, Chessington North and Hook, Chessington South, Coombe Vale, Grove, Norbiton, St. Mark’s, Surbiton Hill and Tolworth and Hook Rise

I’m not sure if I’m in this constituency: Here’s how you can check

Kingston and Surbiton constituency map: Purple shaded area old constituency boundary. Green outlines: new constituency boundaries (© OpenStreetMap contributors | © CARTO)
Kingston and Surbiton constituency map: Purple shaded area old constituency boundary. Green outlines: new constituency boundaries (© OpenStreetMap contributors | © CARTO)

Boundary changes impact (Thrasher and Rallings analysis): Boundary changes have made this more of a Lib Dem seat. It was 51.1 per cent Lib Dem in 2019, 33.9 per cent Tory and 10.7 per cent Labour. Under the new boundaries it would have been 52.6 per cent Lib Dem, 33.1 per cent Conservative and 10.2 per cent Labour.

YouGov MRP poll prediction: Lib Dem hold

Evening Standard view: Sir Ed Davey will win easily

Click below to see more key seats across London: